2020 Senate Election Forecast | FiveThirtyEight

Each get collectively’s seat rely in eventualities the place it wins the Senate in our Deluxe model’s 40,000 simulations. Bigger bars symbolize additional frequent outcomes. Our presidential forecast determines which get collectively will get administration when the Senate is evenly lower up.

When every occasions keep 50 seats, administration of the Senate is set by which get collectively holds the vice presidency in our presidential forecast. Counts of Democratic seats embrace two unbiased senators who caucus with the Democrats.